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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
3 Jul 2026 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Warwickshire started on 48%; Warwickshire batted first.
Warwickshire's chances ranged from 0% to 60% during the match (Glamorgan: 40% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z Malikbowled · Nathan McAndrew 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nathan McAndrew | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| Rob Yatescaught · William Smale · BI Kellaway 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · William Smale · b BI Kellaway | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 144.44 |
3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Sean Dickson · b Mason Crane | 47 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 146.88 |
| Sam Hainnot out 5 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 63* | 46 | 5 | 2 | 136.96 |
| Dan Mousleybowled · James Neesham 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b James Neesham | 27 | 15 | 3 | 1 |
| 180.00 |
| Ed Barnardnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 7 | 3 | 0 | 242.86 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| James Neesham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Tribe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-25 (Z Malik, 3.0) · 2-25 (Rob Yates, 3.2) · 3-111 (Beau Webster, 13.2) · 4-154 (Dan Mousley, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 30/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 31/2 |
| 6 | 15 | 46/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 66/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 72/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 82/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 95/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 99/2 |
| 13 | 11 | 110/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 118/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 124/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 132/3 |
| 17 | 17 | 149/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 154/4 |
| 19 | 13 | 167/4 |
| 20 | 17 | 184/4 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.