Jaffna KingsversusColombo Strikers

14 Jul 2024 · T20

R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Colombo Strikers won by 9 wickets

Jaffna Kings20.0 overs109/9 Colombo Strikers9.5 overs112/1 R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Jaffna Kings started on 54%; Jaffna Kings batted first.

Jaffna Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Colombo Strikers is the rest

Jaffna Kings's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Colombo Strikers: 44% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.6: B Fernando to P Nissanka, P Nissanka out. Colombo Strikers up from 44% to 55%.
2.5: B Fernando to RR Rossouw, RR Rossouw out. Colombo Strikers up from 48% to 59%.
8.2: Shadab Khan to WIA Fernando, WIA Fernando out. Colombo Strikers up from 68% to 80%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Colombo Strikers chose to field
Player of the match: Shadab Khan
match referees: GF Labrooy
reserve umpires: KADA Nanayakkara
tv umpires: RSA Palliyaguruge
umpires: IC Soysa, PSR Fonseka

Match history & source

On 14 Jul 2024, Jaffna Kings played Colombo Strikers at R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo. Recorded result: Colombo Strikers won by 9 wickets.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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