Gujarat TitansversusPunjab Kings

31 Mar 2026 · T20

Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Punjab Kings won by 3 wickets

Gujarat Titans20.0 overs162/6 Punjab Kings19.1 overs165/7 Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Gujarat Titans started on 50%; Gujarat Titans batted first.

Gujarat Titans’s chance of winning (%) · Punjab Kings is the rest

Gujarat Titans's chances ranged from 2% to 69% during the match (Punjab Kings: 31% to 99%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 14.4: M Prasidh Krishna to MP Stoinis, MP Stoinis out. Gujarat Titans up from 25% to 50%.
2nd inns 15.6: K Rabada to C Connolly, six by C Connolly. Punjab Kings up from 58% to 83%.
2nd inns 17.4: Ashok Sharma to M Jansen, M Jansen out. Gujarat Titans up from 19% to 36%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.