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Photo: Original uploader was ShattaAD at en.wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Caribbean Premier League · 2024 · Men
5 Sept 2024 · T20
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua · Venue photographRecorded result
Antigua and Barbuda Falcons started on 37%; Antigua and Barbuda Falcons batted first.
Antigua and Barbuda Falcons's chances ranged from 37% to 95% during the match (Trinbago Knight Riders: 5% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 5 Sept 2024, Antigua and Barbuda Falcons played Trinbago Knight Riders at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua. Recorded result: Antigua and Barbuda Falcons won by 6 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.