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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A · 2026 · Men
16 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Jersey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Switzerland started on 35%; Switzerland batted first.
Switzerland's chances ranged from 0% to 51% during the match (Jersey: 49% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arjun Vinodcaught · Benjamin Ward · Dominic Blampied 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Benjamin Ward · b Dominic Blampied | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 120.00 |
| H Deshancaught · Zak Tribe · Charles Perchard 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Tribe · b Charles Perchard | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Ahmed Hassancaught · Patrick Gouge · Julius Sumerauer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Patrick Gouge · b Julius Sumerauer | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
| Jai Sinhcaught · Patrick Gouge · Benjamin Ward 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Patrick Gouge · b Benjamin Ward | 13 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 81.25 |
| Diyon Johnsonbowled · Benjamin Ward 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Benjamin Ward | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| M Stanikzailbw · Benjamin Ward 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| lbw · b Benjamin Ward |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Musa Khan Ahmadzaicaught · Nick Greenwood · Julius Sumerauer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nick Greenwood · b Julius Sumerauer | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Ashwin Vinodcaught · Daniel Birrell · Nick Greenwood 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Daniel Birrell · b Nick Greenwood | 7 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 50.00 |
|---|
| NK Aneesh Kumarcaught · Charles Perchard · Julius Sumerauer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Charles Perchard · b Julius Sumerauer | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Sheraz Sirwarinot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 4 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Izhar Hussainbowled · Julius Sumerauer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Julius Sumerauer | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Sumerauer0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 5.48 | 7 | 0 |
| Daniel Birrell0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Dominic Blampied0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Charles Perchard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Benjamin Ward1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Greenwood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (H Deshan, 3.3) · 2-30 (Arjun Vinod, 4.2) · 3-43 (Jai Sinh, 8.0) · 4-43 (Ahmed Hassan, 8.2) · 5-47 (M Stanikzai, 9.3) · 6-53 (Musa Khan Ahmadzai, 10.4) · 7-53 (Diyon Johnson, 11.2) · 8-67 (Ashwin Vinod, 15.2) · 9-73 (NK Aneesh Kumar, 16.4) · 10-73 (Izhar Hussain, 16.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 31/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 36/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 43/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 46/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 48/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 53/6 |
| 12 | 2 | 55/7 |
| 13 | 2 | 57/7 |
| 14 | 0 | 57/7 |
| 15 | 9 | 66/7 |
| 16 | 7 | 73/8 |
| 17 | 0 | 73/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.