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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
7 Jun 2026 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Leicestershire started on 45%; Leicestershire batted first.
Leicestershire's chances ranged from 5% to 98% during the match (Yorkshire: 2% to 95%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rishi Patelcaught · Andrew Tye · Moeen Ali 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b Moeen Ali | 14 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · Andrew Tye · Hasan Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b Hasan Ali | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Nick Kellycaught · Dominic Bess · Hasan Ali 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dominic Bess · b Hasan Ali | 44 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 141.94 |
 Jonathan Tattersallbowled · Fahim Ashraf3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fahim Ashraf | 29 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 131.82 |
| bowled · b JA Chohan |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Ben Coxnot out5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 33* | 24 | 5 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Ben Greenlbw · JA Chohan 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b JA Chohan | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Liam Trevaskiscaught · William Luxton · Hasan Ali 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · William Luxton · b Hasan Ali | 13 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 86.67 |
|---|
 Ian Hollandcaught · JA Chohan · Hasan Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JA Chohan · b Hasan Ali | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Josh Daveynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Moeen Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Fahim Ashraf0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Dominic Bess0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Andrew Tye0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Rehan Ahmed, 0.5) · 2-41 (Rishi Patel, 5.3) · 3-90 (Nick Kelly, 10.5) · 4-91 (Ashton Turner, 11.2) · 5-95 (Jonathan Tattersall, 12.1) · 6-96 (Ben Green, 13.1) · 7-138 (Liam Trevaskis, 18.3) · 8-138 (Ian Holland, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 46/2 |
| 7 | 14 | 60/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 66/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 75/2 |
| 10 | 14 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 90/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 95/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 96/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 100/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 107/6 |
| 16 | 8 | 115/6 |
| 17 | 12 | 127/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 135/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 139/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 147/8 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Green: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Jonathan Tattersall: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ian Holland: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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