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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
20 Jun 2024 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographSurrey started on 67%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazicaught · Ollie Pope · Sean Abbott 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Sean Abbott | 23 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 121.05 |
| Martin Anderssoncaught · Daniel Lawrence · Sean Abbott 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Sean Abbott | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.22 |
 Leus du Plooycaught · Dominic Sibley · Tom Curran0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dominic Sibley · b Tom Curran | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Max Holdenbowled · Sean Abbott 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sean Abbott | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 |
| lbw · b Sean Abbott |
| 7 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 63.64 |
| Jack Daviescaught · Jordan Clark · Sean Abbott 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Clark · b Sean Abbott | 35 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmanlbw · Daniel Lawrence0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Daniel Lawrence | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Tom Helmnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 26* | 27 | 2 | 0 | 96.30 |
|---|
| Henry Brookescaught · Daniel Lawrence · Gus Atkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Lawrence · b Gus Atkinson | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Blake Cullennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 2 |
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 4.50 | 0 | 2 |
 Tom Curran0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 3.43 | 0 | 2 |
 Daniel Lawrence0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Jordan Clark0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.55 | 0 | 0 |
1-32 (Martin Andersson, 3.4) · 2-41 (Stephen Eskinazi, 5.5) · 3-41 (Max Holden, 6.0) · 4-41 (Leus du Plooy, 6.2) · 5-75 (Ryan Higgins, 10.4) · 6-85 (Luke Hollman, 12.1) · 7-114 (Jack Davies, 16.4) · 8-123 (Henry Brookes, 18.4)
Recorded target: 186 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 41/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 44/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 51/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 58/4 |
| 10 | 12 | 70/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 80/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 85/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 88/6 |
| 14 | 7 | 95/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 103/6 |
| 16 | 10 | 113/6 |
| 17 | 2 | 115/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 121/7 |
| 19 | 2 | 123/8 |
| 20 | 6 | 129/8 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rory Burns: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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