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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
11 Jul 2024 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographDurham started on 47%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Yorkshire: 47% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nathan Sowter | 30 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 130.43 |
3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Bas de Leede | 29 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 82.86 |
| James Whartoncaught · Bas de Leede · Ben Dwarshuis 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Bas de Leede · b Ben Dwarshuis | 22 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 84.62 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 58.33 |
| Donavon Ferreiranot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 4 | 1 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 6 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 7.13 | 0 | 0 |
1-64 (Adam Lyth, 9.0) · 2-66 (Dawid Malan, 10.0) · 3-95 (James Wharton, 15.5)
Recorded target: 108 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 24/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 30/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 43/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 53/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 63/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 64/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 66/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 69/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 72/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 76/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 83/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 93/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 99/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 108/3 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Hill: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.