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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
3 Jun 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographMiddlesex started on 31%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 38% during the match (Surrey: 62% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roycaught · Tom Helm · Noah Cornwell7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Helm · b Noah Cornwell | 46 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 148.39 |
 Will Jacksbowled · Tom Helm2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Tom Helm | 24 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 141.18 |
 Ollie Popenot out5 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 51* | 33 | 5 | 2 | 154.55 |
 Sam Currannot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 175.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Eathan Bosch0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 2 | 0 |
| SHB Morgan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 13.85 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-38 (Will Jacks, 4.4) · 2-112 (Jason Roy, 12.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 29/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 53/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 61/1 |
| 8 | 12 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 76/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 83/1 |
| 11 | 18 | 101/1 |
| 12 | 11 | 112/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 122/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 130/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 134/2 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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