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Photo: Electricmaster
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
9 Jan 2025 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 33%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 18% to 100% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 0% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ben Duckettcaught · James Vince · Sean Abbott2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · James Vince · b Sean Abbott | 20 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 142.86 |
| Sam Harpercaught · Jordan Silk · Jack Edwards 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Silk · b Jack Edwards | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Beau Webstercaught · Moisés Henriques · Sean Abbott2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Moisés Henriques · b Sean Abbott | 48 | 41 | 2 | 1 | 117.07 |
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · Sean Abbott · Hayden Kerr1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sean Abbott |
| 14 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 107.69 |
 Marcus Stoiniscaught · Josh Philippe · Sean Abbott0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Sean Abbott | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
 Glenn Maxwellnot out5 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 58* | 32 | 5 | 3 | 181.25 |
|---|
| Hilton Cartwrightnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akeal Hosein0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Edwards0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Todd Murphy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Hayden Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Sam Harper, 2.0) · 2-27 (Ben Duckett, 3.5) · 3-49 (Daniel Lawrence, 6.5) · 4-60 (Marcus Stoinis, 9.3) · 5-148 (Beau Webster, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 27/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 35/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 49/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 54/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 58/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 64/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 73/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 80/4 |
| 13 | 19 | 99/4 |
| 14 | 14 | 113/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 120/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 126/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 136/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 147/4 |
| 19 | 1 | 148/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 156/5 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mark Steketee: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Todd Murphy: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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