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Photo: Electricmaster
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
9 Jan 2025 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 33%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 18% to 100% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 0% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Philippebowled · Mark Steketee 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mark Steketee | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
 James Vincecaught · Glenn Maxwell · Marcus Stoinis6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Marcus Stoinis | 53 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 120.45 |
| Kurtis Pattersonlbw · Usama Mir 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Usama Mir | 18 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Moisés Henriquescaught · Glenn Maxwell · Marcus Stoinis1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Marcus Stoinis | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 118.18 |
| bowled · b Peter Siddle |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Jack Edwardscaught and bowled · Usama Mir 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Usama Mir | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 180.00 |
|---|
 Hayden Kerrcaught · Ben Duckett · Mark Steketee1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Mark Steketee | 21 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Ben Dwarshuiscaught · Beau Webster · Peter Siddle 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beau Webster · b Peter Siddle | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Sean Abbottcaught · Usama Mir · Mark Steketee0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usama Mir · b Mark Steketee | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Akeal Hoseinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Todd Murphynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Paris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Mark Steketee0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Peter Siddle0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Marcus Stoinis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Beau Webster0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Usama Mir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Josh Philippe, 3.2) · 2-56 (Kurtis Patterson, 8.4) · 3-96 (James Vince, 13.4) · 4-97 (Moisés Henriques, 14.0) · 5-97 (Jordan Silk, 14.2) · 6-112 (Jack Edwards, 16.1) · 7-130 (Ben Dwarshuis, 18.2) · 8-138 (Hayden Kerr, 19.2) · 9-139 (Sean Abbott, 19.4)
Recorded target: 157 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 33/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 41/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 46/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 52/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 58/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 71/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 75/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 82/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 90/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 97/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 101/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 112/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 117/6 |
| 18 | 12 | 129/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 137/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 140/9 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mark Steketee: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Todd Murphy: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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