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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
28 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Qatar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 35%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Qatar: 28% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saqlain Arshadcaught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · Hisham Sheikh 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · b Hisham Sheikh | 45 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 140.63 |
| Imal Liyanagecaught · Abdul Wahid · Hisham Sheikh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Wahid · b Hisham Sheikh | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 107.14 |
| Mohammad Ahnaffstumped · Sidharth Sankar · Zain Ul Abidin 2 fours · 5 sixes | stumped · Sidharth Sankar · b Zain Ul Abidin | 50 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 147.06 |
| Mohammed Rizlancaught · Faisal Khan · Hisham Sheikh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Faisal Khan · b Hisham Sheikh | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Muhammad Tanveernot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 36* | 23 | 2 | 2 | 156.52 |
| not out |
| 9* |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 300.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Najeeb0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 12.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Usman Khalid0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Hisham Sheikh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.91 | 1 | 0 |
| Waji Ul Hassan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-66 (Saqlain Arshad, 7.0) · 2-69 (Imal Liyanage, 8.1) · 3-69 (Mohammed Rizlan, 8.2) · 4-155 (Mohammad Ahnaff, 17.1)
Recorded target: 166 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 41/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 51/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 57/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 66/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 69/1 |
| 9 | 13 | 82/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 85/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 98/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 102/3 |
| 13 | 15 | 117/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 122/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 126/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 135/3 |
| 17 | 20 | 155/3 |
| 18 | 11 | 166/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.