SingaporeversusMyanmar

29 Nov 2025 · T20

Recorded result

Myanmar won by 8 wickets

Singapore20.0 overs92/9 Myanmar14.1 overs93/2 Singapore National Cricket Ground ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Myanmar more likely to win

14%Singapore86%Myanmar

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Myanmar rate stronger than Singapore (1,515 vs 1,299 on our results rating)
In the last 8 T20 internationals between these sides, Myanmar won 8 and Singapore won 0
Singapore are playing at home in Singapore

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Singapore started on 13%; Singapore batted first.

Singapore’s chance of winning (%) · Myanmar is the rest

Singapore's chances ranged from 0% to 21% during the match (Myanmar: 79% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.4: ZL Win to Shafina Mahesh, 2 runs to Shafina Mahesh. Singapore up from 17% to 21%.
2.1: Zon Lin to LAR Bommareddy, Shafina Mahesh out. Myanmar up from 80% to 84%.
5.4: TT Soe to Vinu Kumar, Vinu Kumar out. Myanmar up from 80% to 84%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Singapore92/9 Myanmar93/2

Innings 1

Singapore

92/920.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Singapore batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
LAR Bommareddyrun out · HH Aung, Thae Thae Po · SY Win 1 fours · 0 sixes	run out · HH Aung, Thae Thae Po	17	24	1	0	70.83
Shafina Maheshrun out · TT Soe, Thae Thae Po · Zon Lin 1 fours · 0 sixes	run out · TT Soe, Thae Thae Po	7	5	1	0	140.00
Vinu Kumarbowled · TT Soe 1 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b TT Soe	9	12	1	0	75.00
RR Sethlbw · ZL Thoon 3 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b ZL Thoon	25	40	3	0	62.50
Diviya G Kcaught · Zon Lin · ZL Thoon 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Zon Lin · b ZL Thoon	3	11	0	0	27.27
Ananya Sarma

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
MPP San0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	0	12	0	6.00	1	0
ZL Win0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls	3.0	0	17	0	5.67	0	1
Zon Lin0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	11	0	3.67	2	0
TT Soe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	14	2	3.50	1	0
SY Win0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	12	1	4.00	0	0
ZL Thoon1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	1	8	2	2.00	1	0
Moe Ei Phyu0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls	1.0	0	12	0	12.00	0	2

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	6	6/0
2	12	18/0
3	6	24/1
4	6	30/1
5	4	34/1
6	3	37/2
7	2	39/2
8	3	42/3
9	6	48/3
10	8	56/3
11	1	57/3
12	0	57/4
13	5	62/4
14	2	64/5
15	4	68/5
16	3	71/5
17	12	83/5
18	3	86/6
19	1	87/8
20	5	92/9

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