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Switzerland tour of Estonia · 2025 · Men
3 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Switzerland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Switzerland started on 64%; Switzerland batted first.
Switzerland's chances ranged from 23% to 99% during the match (Estonia: 2% to 77%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Habib Khanlbw · K Fletcher 5 fours · 4 sixes | lbw · b K Fletcher | 49 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 196.00 |
| Muhammad Usman (4)stumped · Ahmed Hassan · Khalid Niazi 1 fours · 3 sixes | stumped · Ahmed Hassan · b Khalid Niazi | 43 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 119.44 |
| S Hookcaught and bowled · NK Aneesh Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b NK Aneesh Kumar | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 53.33 |
| Bilal Masudcaught and bowled · NK Aneesh Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b NK Aneesh Kumar | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Arslan Amjadstumped · Ahmed Hassan · Khalid Niazi 0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Ahmed Hassan · b Khalid Niazi | 10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 125.00 |
| caught · Jai Sinh · b Ashwin Vinod |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
| Zeeshan Ali (3)caught · H Deshan · Faheem Nazir 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · H Deshan · b Faheem Nazir | 17 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 188.89 |
|---|
| R Baruahstumped · Ahmed Hassan · Ashwin Vinod 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ahmed Hassan · b Ashwin Vinod | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| S Goochcaught · Arjun Vinod · Ashwin Vinod 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arjun Vinod · b Ashwin Vinod | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Elias Hasancaught · H Deshan · Ashwin Vinod 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Deshan · b Ashwin Vinod | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| A Paulnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashwin Vinod0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 37 | 4 | 11.68 | 1 | 0 |
| Faheem Nazir0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 8.40 | 1 | 0 |
| K Fletcher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| H Deshan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| NK Aneesh Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Diyon Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Khalid Niazi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-68 (Habib Khan, 6.5) · 2-93 (S Hook, 11.1) · 3-95 (Bilal Masud, 11.4) · 4-111 (Muhammad Usman (4), 14.1) · 5-112 (Arslan Amjad, 14.5) · 6-116 (Sahil Chauhan, 15.4) · 7-117 (R Baruah, 15.4) · 8-117 (S Gooch, 16.0) · 9-133 (Elias Hasan, 17.2) · 10-142 (Zeeshan Ali (3), 18.4)
Recorded target: 158 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 28/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 33/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 38/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 50/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 53/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 65/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 68/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 72/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 79/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 84/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 93/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 95/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 100/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 111/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 113/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 118/8 |
| 17 | 15 | 133/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 138/9 |
| 19 | 4 | 142/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.