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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
10 Jan 2026 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 54%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 55% to 100% during the match (Auckland: 0% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Phillipscaught · Cole McConchie · LLB Harper 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cole McConchie · b LLB Harper | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| LD Watsoncaught and bowled · Cameron Paul 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Cameron Paul | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 180.00 |
| Sean Soliacaught · LLB Harper · Cameron Paul 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · LLB Harper · b Cameron Paul | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Mark Chapmancaught · Sean Davey · LLB Harper 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Davey · b LLB Harper | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Bevon Jacobsnot out 6 fours · 6 sixes | not out | 88* | 45 | 6 | 6 | 195.56 |
| not out |
| 80* |
| 50 |
| 9 |
| 2 |
| 160.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraser Sheat0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Cameron Paul1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| LLB Harper0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Sean Davey0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 1 |
 Ish Sodhi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 11.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole McConchie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (LD Watson, 1.4) · 2-27 (Sean Solia, 3.4) · 3-27 (Dale Phillips, 4.2) · 4-28 (Mark Chapman, 4.5)
Recorded target: 217 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 18/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 27/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 33/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 39/4 |
| 7 | 8 | 47/4 |
| 8 | 10 | 57/4 |
| 9 | 11 | 68/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 77/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 87/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 96/4 |
| 13 | 11 | 107/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 116/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 127/4 |
| 16 | 19 | 146/4 |
| 17 | 13 | 159/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 167/4 |
| 19 | 10 | 177/4 |
| 20 | 22 | 199/4 |
Rhys Mariu: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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