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Bangladesh tour of United States of America · 2024 · Men
23 May 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 61%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 8% to 91% during the match (Bangladesh: 9% to 92%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanzid Hasanbowled · Jasdeep Singh 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jasdeep Singh | 19 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 126.67 |
 Soumya Sarkarcaught and bowled · Saurabh Netravalkar0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Najmul Hossain Shantorun out · Corey Anderson · Corey Anderson2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Corey Anderson | 36 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 105.88 |
 Tawhid Hridoybowled · Corey Anderson0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Corey Anderson | 25 |
| 21 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 119.05 |
 Shakib Al Hasanbowled · Ali Khan4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ali Khan | 30 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 130.43 |
|---|
 Mahmudullahbowled · Shadley van Schalkwyk0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shadley van Schalkwyk | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Jaker Alicaught · Harmeet Singh · Shadley van Schalkwyk0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harmeet Singh · b Shadley van Schalkwyk | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Rishad Hossaincaught · Monank Patel · Ali Khan2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Monank Patel · b Ali Khan | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 180.00 |
|---|
 Tanzim Hasan Sakiblbw · Ali Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ali Khan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Shariful Islambowled · Saurabh Netravalkar0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Mustafizur Rahmannot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ali Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 7.14 | 1 | 0 |
| Steven Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 6 | 0 |
| Shadley van Schalkwyk0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Anderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Soumya Sarkar, 0.4) · 2-30 (Tanzid Hasan, 4.2) · 3-78 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 10.3) · 4-92 (Tawhid Hridoy, 12.5) · 5-106 (Mahmudullah, 14.4) · 6-124 (Jaker Ali, 17.0) · 7-124 (Shakib Al Hasan, 17.1) · 8-125 (Tanzim Hasan Sakib, 17.3) · 9-132 (Shariful Islam, 18.4) · 10-138 (Rishad Hossain, 19.3)
Recorded target: 145 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 37/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 47/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 55/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 62/2 |
| 10 | 14 | 76/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 82/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 86/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 102/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 107/5 |
| 16 | 12 | 119/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 124/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 130/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 133/9 |
| 20 | 5 | 138/10 |
Ali Khan: U.S. Embassy Port of Spain · Public domain
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Tanzim Hasan Sakib: Cricket Today · CC BY 3.0
Mahmudullah: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shakib Al Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Soumya Sarkar: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mustafizur Rahman: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shariful Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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