OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024 · Men
18 Sept 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nepal started on 50%; Nepal batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arjun Saudcaught · Fiaz Bhutt · Kaleemullah 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fiaz Bhutt · b Kaleemullah | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 41.67 |
| Aasif Sheikhcaught · Kashyap Prajapati · Shoaib Khan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kashyap Prajapati · b Shoaib Khan | 11 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 39.29 |
| B Sharkicaught · Ayan Khan · Fiaz Bhutt 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ayan Khan · b Fiaz Bhutt | 11 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 34.38 |
 Rohit Kumarcaught · PS Athavale · Aaqib Ilyas2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · PS Athavale · b Aaqib Ilyas | 60 | 72 | 2 | 4 | 83.33 |
 |
Nepal's chances ranged from 7% to 76% during the match (Oman: 24% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · PS Athavale · b Shakeel Ahmed |
| 35 |
| 88 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 39.77 |
 Gulsan Jhacaught · Ayan Khan · Fiaz Bhutt3 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Ayan Khan · b Fiaz Bhutt | 53 | 35 | 3 | 5 | 151.43 |
|---|
| Anil Sahcaught · Kashyap Prajapati · Aaqib Ilyas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kashyap Prajapati · b Aaqib Ilyas | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Sandeep Lamichhanenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 73.33 |
|---|
 Karan KCbowled · Kaleemullah0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kaleemullah | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Sompal Kamirun out · Kashyap Prajapati, PS Athavale · Kaleemullah0 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Kashyap Prajapati, PS Athavale | 20 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 2.90 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaleemullah2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 39 | 2 | 3.90 | 0 | 1 |
| Shoaib Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Fiaz Bhutt1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 36 | 2 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 3.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaqib Ilyas0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.1 | 0 | 58 | 2 | 7.10 | 5 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Arjun Saud, 3.1) · 2-22 (Aasif Sheikh, 10.3) · 3-31 (B Sharki, 13.1) · 4-114 (Aarif Sheikh, 36.4) · 5-143 (Rohit Kumar, 41.2) · 6-162 (Anil Sah, 44.0) · 7-194 (Gulsan Jha, 47.1) · 8-197 (Karan KC, 48.1) · 9-220 (Sompal Kami, 50.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 12/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 12/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 14/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 14/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 18/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 19/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 23/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 25/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 31/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 32/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 33/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 37/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 45/3 |
| 18 | 0 | 45/3 |
| 19 | 2 | 47/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 48/3 |
| 21 | 5 | 53/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 55/3 |
| 23 | 3 | 58/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 60/3 |
| 25 | 2 | 62/3 |
| 26 | 7 | 69/3 |
| 27 | 7 | 76/3 |
| 28 | 5 | 81/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 85/3 |
| 30 | 7 | 92/3 |
| 31 | 2 | 94/3 |
| 32 | 10 | 104/3 |
| 33 | 2 | 106/3 |
| 34 | 3 | 109/3 |
| 35 | 2 | 111/3 |
| 36 | 3 | 114/3 |
| 37 | 0 | 114/4 |
| 38 | 12 | 126/4 |
| 39 | 7 | 133/4 |
| 40 | 3 | 136/4 |
| 41 | 7 | 143/4 |
| 42 | 2 | 145/5 |
| 43 | 8 | 153/5 |
| 44 | 10 | 163/6 |
| 45 | 4 | 167/6 |
| 46 | 23 | 190/6 |
| 47 | 4 | 194/7 |
| 48 | 3 | 197/8 |
| 49 | 9 | 206/8 |
| 50 | 14 | 220/9 |
Gulsan Jha: Elison Pokhrel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sompal Kami: सरोज कुमार ढकाल · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sandeep Lamichhane: Deshsanchar · CC BY 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karan KC: Helloworld3377 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aarif Sheikh: Nepalese Diaspora · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
