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West Indies Women tour of India · 2024/25 · Women
24 Dec 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 80%; India batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Smriti Mandhanarun out · Shemaine Campbelle, Karishma Ramharack · Afy Fletcher7 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Shemaine Campbelle, Karishma Ramharack | 53 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 112.77 |
| Pratika Rawalcaught · Qiana Joseph · Zaida James 10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Qiana Joseph · b Zaida James | 76 | 86 | 10 | 1 | 88.37 |
| Harleen Deolcaught · Aaliyah Alleyne · Qiana Joseph 16 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aaliyah Alleyne · b Qiana Joseph | 115 | 103 | 16 | 0 | 111.65 |
 Harmanpreet Kaurbowled · Afy Fletcher2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Afy Fletcher | 22 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 122.22 |
India's chances ranged from 80% to 100% during the match (West Indies: 0% to 20%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Hayley Matthews · b Deandra Dottin |
| 52 |
| 36 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 144.44 |
 Richa Ghoshnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 6 | 2 | 0 | 216.67 |
|---|
 Deepti Sharmanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 20 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deandra Dottin0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 53 | 1 | 7.57 | 2 | 0 |
 Shamilia Connell0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 5 | 0 |
 Hayley Matthews0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 6 | 1 |
 Karishma Ramharack0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 4.60 | 1 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 6.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Zaida James0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 57 | 1 | 8.14 | 1 | 0 |
| Qiana Joseph0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-110 (Smriti Mandhana, 16.3) · 2-172 (Pratika Rawal, 29.0) · 3-215 (Harmanpreet Kaur, 35.5) · 4-331 (Harleen Deol, 47.3) · 5-341 (Jemimah Rodrigues, 48.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 35/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 40/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 44/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 53/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 57/0 |
| 10 | 9 | 66/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 74/0 |
| 12 | 9 | 83/0 |
| 13 | 8 | 91/0 |
| 14 | 1 | 92/0 |
| 15 | 6 | 98/0 |
| 16 | 6 | 104/0 |
| 17 | 7 | 111/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 113/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 118/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 121/1 |
| 21 | 8 | 129/1 |
| 22 | 3 | 132/1 |
| 23 | 7 | 139/1 |
| 24 | 8 | 147/1 |
| 25 | 5 | 152/1 |
| 26 | 4 | 156/1 |
| 27 | 5 | 161/1 |
| 28 | 7 | 168/1 |
| 29 | 4 | 172/2 |
| 30 | 2 | 174/2 |
| 31 | 11 | 185/2 |
| 32 | 7 | 192/2 |
| 33 | 4 | 196/2 |
| 34 | 9 | 205/2 |
| 35 | 7 | 212/2 |
| 36 | 4 | 216/3 |
| 37 | 12 | 228/3 |
| 38 | 9 | 237/3 |
| 39 | 5 | 242/3 |
| 40 | 7 | 249/3 |
| 41 | 9 | 258/3 |
| 42 | 5 | 263/3 |
| 43 | 4 | 267/3 |
| 44 | 9 | 276/3 |
| 45 | 12 | 288/3 |
| 46 | 16 | 304/3 |
| 47 | 21 | 325/3 |
| 48 | 14 | 339/4 |
| 49 | 6 | 345/5 |
| 50 | 13 | 358/5 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamilia Connell: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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