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West Indies Women tour of India · 2024/25 · Women
24 Dec 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 80%; India batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hayley Matthewscaught · Jemimah Rodrigues · Pratika Rawal13 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jemimah Rodrigues · b Pratika Rawal | 106 | 109 | 13 | 0 | 97.25 |
| Qiana Josephcaught · Pratika Rawal · Deepti Sharma 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Pratika Rawal · b Deepti Sharma | 15 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 93.75 |
| Nerissa Craftoncaught and bowled · Titas Sadhu 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Titas Sadhu | 13 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 76.47 |
| Rashada Williamslbw · Priya Mishra 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Priya Mishra | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 |
India's chances ranged from 80% to 100% during the match (West Indies: 0% to 20%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Renuka Singh |
| 10 |
| 21 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 47.62 |
 Shemaine Campbellecaught · Smriti Mandhana · Titas Sadhu5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smriti Mandhana · b Titas Sadhu | 38 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 79.17 |
|---|
| Aaliyah Alleynecaught · M Mani · Deepti Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Mani · b Deepti Sharma | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Zaida Jamescaught · Pratika Rawal · Priya Mishra 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pratika Rawal · b Priya Mishra | 25 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 64.10 |
|---|
 Afy Fletchercaught · Smriti Mandhana · Pratika Rawal3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smriti Mandhana · b Pratika Rawal | 22 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 129.41 |
|---|
 Karishma Ramharackcaught · Harleen Deol · Priya Mishra0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harleen Deol · b Priya Mishra | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Shamilia Connellnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Renuka Singh2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 41 | 1 | 4.56 | 1 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 40 | 2 | 4.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Titas Sadhu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 4.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Priya Mishra0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.2 | 0 | 49 | 3 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Saima Thakor0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Pratika Rawal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 7.40 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Qiana Joseph, 5.3) · 2-36 (Nerissa Crafton, 9.3) · 3-40 (Rashada Williams, 10.4) · 4-69 (Deandra Dottin, 16.5) · 5-181 (Shemaine Campbelle, 33.5) · 6-182 (Aaliyah Alleyne, 34.4) · 7-199 (Hayley Matthews, 39.0) · 8-227 (Zaida James, 45.0) · 9-237 (Afy Fletcher, 45.5) · 10-243 (Karishma Ramharack, 46.2)
Recorded target: 359 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 12/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 24/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 24/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 28/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 36/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 40/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 46/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 56/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 57/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 64/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 69/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 74/4 |
| 19 | 10 | 84/4 |
| 20 | 14 | 98/4 |
| 21 | 1 | 99/4 |
| 22 | 4 | 103/4 |
| 23 | 5 | 108/4 |
| 24 | 2 | 110/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 114/4 |
| 26 | 12 | 126/4 |
| 27 | 6 | 132/4 |
| 28 | 9 | 141/4 |
| 29 | 6 | 147/4 |
| 30 | 5 | 152/4 |
| 31 | 10 | 162/4 |
| 32 | 6 | 168/4 |
| 33 | 6 | 174/4 |
| 34 | 7 | 181/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 182/6 |
| 36 | 2 | 184/6 |
| 37 | 8 | 192/6 |
| 38 | 5 | 197/6 |
| 39 | 2 | 199/7 |
| 40 | 3 | 202/7 |
| 41 | 9 | 211/7 |
| 42 | 9 | 220/7 |
| 43 | 3 | 223/7 |
| 44 | 3 | 226/7 |
| 45 | 1 | 227/8 |
| 46 | 14 | 241/9 |
| 47 | 2 | 243/10 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamilia Connell: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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