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Photo: Maghan mal
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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West Indies Women tour of Pakistan · 2024 · Women
3 May 2024 · T20
National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 37%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 0% to 63% during the match (West Indies: 37% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hayley Matthewsbowled · Nashra Sandhu11 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nashra Sandhu | 78 | 59 | 11 | 0 | 132.20 |
| Rashada Williamscaught · Gull Feroza · Sadia Iqbal 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gull Feroza · b Sadia Iqbal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 145.45 |
 Shemaine Campbellenot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 33* | 35 | 2 | 0 | 94.29 |
| Zaida Jamesnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadia Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Fatima Sana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Rameen Shamim1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nashra Sandhu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nida Dar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 11.10 | 0 | 0 |
1-25 (Rashada Williams, 4.5) · 2-128 (Hayley Matthews, 17.3)
Recorded target: 135 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 37/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 46/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 54/1 |
| 9 | 14 | 68/1 |
| 10 | 14 | 82/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 92/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 97/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 101/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 108/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 116/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 117/1 |
| 17 | 9 | 126/1 |
| 18 | 4 | 130/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 136/2 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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