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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
15 Jul 2026 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Nottinghamshire started on 49%; Nottinghamshire batted first.
Nottinghamshire's chances ranged from 4% to 94% during the match (Surrey: 6% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Royrun out · FW McCann · Mohammad Amir10 fours · 1 sixes | run out · FW McCann | 76 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 152.00 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · Liam Patterson-White · George Linde 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Liam Patterson-White · b George Linde | 40 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 117.65 |
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · Benny Howell · George Linde0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Benny Howell · b George Linde | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Josh Philippenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 14 | 1 | 0 | 135.71 |
 |
| caught · Tom Moores · b Binura Fernando |
| 9 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 128.57 |
 Tom Currancaught · George Linde · Binura Fernando1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Linde · b Binura Fernando | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Chris Jordancaught and bowled · Oli Stone0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Oli Stone | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Ollie Sykescaught · Tom Moores · Oli Stone 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Oli Stone | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Sean Abbottnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Binura Fernando0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Benny Howell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| JA Pocklington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-101 (Laurie Evans, 12.1) · 2-113 (Daniel Lawrence, 14.2) · 3-123 (Jason Roy, 15.4) · 4-143 (Ollie Pope, 18.1) · 5-151 (Tom Curran, 18.5) · 6-153 (Chris Jordan, 19.2) · 7-155 (Ollie Sykes, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 37/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 46/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 53/0 |
| 8 | 16 | 69/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 74/0 |
| 10 | 11 | 85/0 |
| 11 | 10 | 95/0 |
| 12 | 6 | 101/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 103/1 |
| 14 | 9 | 112/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 117/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 128/3 |
| 17 | 10 | 138/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 143/3 |
| 19 | 9 | 152/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 156/7 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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