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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier A · 2026/27 · Men
5 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Qatar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Kuwait started on 42%; Kuwait batted first.
Kuwait's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Qatar: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zubair Alicaught · Mohomad Aslam · Shahrukh Quddus 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohomad Aslam · b Shahrukh Quddus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 266.67 |
| Zeeshan Haidercaught · Yasin Patel · Adnan Idrees 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yasin Patel · b Adnan Idrees | 14 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 93.33 |
| Imal Liyanagestumped · Meet Bhavsar · Mohomad Aslam 6 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Meet Bhavsar · b Mohomad Aslam | 39 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 139.29 |
| Mirza Mohammed Baigcaught · Mohamed Shafeeq · Adnan Idrees 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohamed Shafeeq · b Adnan Idrees | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Muhammad Asimbowled · Meet Bhavsar 1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Meet Bhavsar | 28 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 127.27 |
| Shahzaib Jamilcaught · Clinto Anto · Mohomad Aslam 1 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Clinto Anto · b Mohomad Aslam |
| 22 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 169.23 |
| Shahzeb Afridistumped · Clinto Anto · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Clinto Anto · b Yasin Patel | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Shariq Munirrun out · Yasin Patel, Meet Bhavsar · Meet Bhavsar 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Yasin Patel, Meet Bhavsar | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Daniel Louisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Owais Ahmednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shahrukh Quddus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Adnan Idrees0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Meet Bhavsar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Zubair Ali, 0.3) · 2-66 (Imal Liyanage, 7.3) · 3-68 (Zeeshan Haider, 8.2) · 4-79 (Mirza Mohammed Baig, 10.2) · 5-115 (Muhammad Asim, 14.0) · 6-121 (Shahzaib Jamil, 15.0) · 7-128 (Shahzeb Afridi, 16.4) · 8-130 (Shariq Munir, 17.1)
Recorded target: 200 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 44/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 58/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 61/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 67/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 69/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 78/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 83/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 91/4 |
| 13 | 12 | 103/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 115/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 121/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 126/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 129/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 133/8 |
| 19 | 6 | 139/8 |
| 20 | 2 | 141/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.