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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
16 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 38%; Scotland batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Levittcaught · Jack Jarvis · Brandon McMullen 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Jarvis · b Brandon McMullen | 32 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 110.34 |
| Max O'Dowdcaught · Safyaan Sharif · Brad Currie 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Safyaan Sharif · b Brad Currie | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 160.00 |
 Zach Lion-Cachetcaught · Richie Berrington · Brad Currie0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Richie Berrington · b Brad Currie | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Teja Nidamanurubowled · Brandon McMullen 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brandon McMullen | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Scott Edwardslbw · Jack Jarvis 2 fours · 0 sixes |
Scotland's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Netherlands: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| lbw · b Jack Jarvis |
| 21 |
| 30 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 70.00 |
 Bas de Leedestumped · Matty Cross · Brandon McMullen9 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Matty Cross · b Brandon McMullen | 74 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 110.45 |
|---|
| Noah Croescaught · Matty Cross · Safyaan Sharif 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matty Cross · b Safyaan Sharif | 23 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 67.65 |
|---|
| Kyle Kleincaught · Mark Watt · Brandon McMullen 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mark Watt · b Brandon McMullen | 20 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 64.52 |
|---|
 Roelof van der Merwelbw · Brad Currie2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Brad Currie | 18 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Fred Klaassennot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 11* | 12 | 0 | 1 | 91.67 |
|---|
| Paul van Meekerencaught · George Munsey · Jack Jarvis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Munsey · b Jack Jarvis | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Currie0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 49 | 3 | 6.13 | 5 | 0 |
| Brandon McMullen1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 55 | 4 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Safyaan Sharif1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 36 | 1 | 5.14 | 1 | 0 |
 Mark Watt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Jarvis1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.1 | 1 | 34 | 2 | 5.51 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Leask0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Max O'Dowd, 4.1) · 2-53 (Michael Levitt, 8.0) · 3-53 (Zach Lion-Cachet, 8.1) · 4-60 (Teja Nidamanuru, 9.2) · 5-107 (Scott Edwards, 20.2) · 6-175 (Noah Croes, 30.4) · 7-179 (Bas de Leede, 31.2) · 8-216 (Roelof van der Merwe, 38.4) · 9-222 (Kyle Klein, 39.5) · 10-235 (Paul van Meekeren, 42.1)
Recorded target: 381 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 41/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 47/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 53/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 60/3 |
| 10 | 0 | 60/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 65/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 68/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 69/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 76/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 84/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 87/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 97/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 100/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 106/4 |
| 20 | 1 | 107/4 |
| 21 | 0 | 107/5 |
| 22 | 3 | 110/5 |
| 23 | 12 | 122/5 |
| 24 | 11 | 133/5 |
| 25 | 8 | 141/5 |
| 26 | 7 | 148/5 |
| 27 | 5 | 153/5 |
| 28 | 4 | 157/5 |
| 29 | 11 | 168/5 |
| 30 | 7 | 175/5 |
| 31 | 0 | 175/6 |
| 32 | 6 | 181/7 |
| 33 | 5 | 186/7 |
| 34 | 5 | 191/7 |
| 35 | 4 | 195/7 |
| 36 | 6 | 201/7 |
| 37 | 7 | 208/7 |
| 38 | 6 | 214/7 |
| 39 | 3 | 217/8 |
| 40 | 6 | 223/9 |
| 41 | 3 | 226/9 |
| 42 | 9 | 235/9 |
| 43 | 0 | 235/10 |
Mark Watt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
