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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
29 May 2025 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographSussex started on 57%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardbowled · Noah Cornwell 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Noah Cornwell | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Daniel Hughesrun out · Tom Helm · Tom Helm 4 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Tom Helm | 38 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 190.00 |
| John Simpsoncaught · Henry Brookes · Zafar Gohar 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Henry Brookes · b Zafar Gohar | 22 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 183.33 |
| James Colesnot out 5 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 77* | 44 | 5 | 5 | 175.00 |
 Tom Alsoplbw · Luke Hollman0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Luke Hollman | 18 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Tom Clarknot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 26* | 21 | 3 | 0 | 123.81 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 8 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zafar Gohar0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 3 | 0 |
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Henry Brookes0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 16.00 | 1 | 2 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Ryan Higgins0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Harrison Ward, 1.1) · 2-53 (John Simpson, 4.5) · 3-78 (Daniel Hughes, 7.1) · 4-114 (Tom Alsop, 12.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 18/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 31/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 44/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 53/2 |
| 6 | 19 | 72/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 78/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 79/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 86/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 95/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 101/3 |
| 12 | 13 | 114/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 122/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 127/4 |
| 15 | 18 | 145/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 149/4 |
| 17 | 12 | 161/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 170/4 |
| 19 | 14 | 184/4 |
| 20 | 18 | 202/4 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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