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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
29 May 2025 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographSussex started on 57%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazicaught · Ollie Robinson · Brad Currie 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Brad Currie | 34 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 113.33 |
 Kane Williamsoncaught · Harrison Ward · Brad Currie0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Harrison Ward · b Brad Currie | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 116.67 |
| Ben Geddescaught · Brad Currie · Ollie Robinson 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Brad Currie · b Ollie Robinson | 51 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 137.84 |
 Leus du Plooycaught · Tom Clark · Tymal Mills1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Clark · b Tymal Mills | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 183.33 |
| bowled · b Ollie Robinson |
| 7 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 116.67 |
 Luke Hollmancaught · Harrison Ward · Tymal Mills3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harrison Ward · b Tymal Mills | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 222.22 |
|---|
 Ryan Higginsbowled · Ollie Robinson5 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Ollie Robinson | 44 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 275.00 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Noah Cornwellnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Brad Currie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 54 | 2 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| James Coles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Lamb0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Kane Williamson, 3.3) · 2-84 (Stephen Eskinazi, 11.0) · 3-98 (Leus du Plooy, 12.3) · 4-107 (Jack Davies, 13.5) · 5-136 (Luke Hollman, 16.1) · 6-182 (Ben Geddes, 19.1) · 7-185 (Ryan Higgins, 19.5)
Recorded target: 203 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 16 | 44/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 54/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 58/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 62/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 66/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 71/1 |
| 11 | 13 | 84/2 |
| 12 | 13 | 97/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 101/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 111/4 |
| 15 | 13 | 124/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 136/4 |
| 17 | 14 | 150/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 162/5 |
| 19 | 20 | 182/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 186/7 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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