OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A · 2026 · Men
23 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Jersey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Guernsey started on 33%; Guernsey batted first.
Guernsey's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (Jersey: 33% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Barkerlbw · Harrison Carlyon 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Harrison Carlyon | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Josh Butlercaught · Harrison Carlyon · Zak Tribe 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Harrison Carlyon · b Zak Tribe | 50 | 41 | 3 | 3 | 121.95 |
| Tom Nightingalecaught · Julius Sumerauer · Harrison Carlyon 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Julius Sumerauer · b Harrison Carlyon | 20 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Matthew Stokescaught · Zak Tribe · Charles Perchard 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Tribe · b Charles Perchard | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Oliver Nightingalecaught · Charles Perchard · Zak Tribe 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Charles Perchard · b Zak Tribe | 31 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 86.11 |
| Isaac Damarellnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 109.09 |
|---|
| M Dale-Bradleynot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 9* | 4 | 0 | 1 | 225.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Richardson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison Carlyon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominic Blampied0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Julius Sumerauer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Charles Perchard0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Benjamin Ward0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Zak Tribe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Lucas Barker, 1.1) · 2-35 (Tom Nightingale, 5.2) · 3-47 (Matthew Stokes, 7.1) · 4-113 (Josh Butler, 16.5) · 5-128 (Oliver Nightingale, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 47/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 52/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 61/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 65/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 74/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 84/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 89/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 92/3 |
| 15 | 15 | 107/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 112/3 |
| 17 | 2 | 114/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 121/4 |
| 19 | 8 | 129/5 |
| 20 | 10 | 139/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.