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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jun 2026 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Warwickshire started on 50%; Warwickshire batted first.
Warwickshire's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 28% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z Malikcaught · Mohammad Ali · George Linde 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Ali · b George Linde | 29 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 161.11 |
| Rob Yatescaught · Jack Haynes · Mohammad Ali 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Haynes · b Mohammad Ali | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 121.05 |
| Dan Mousleylbw · Freddie McCann 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Freddie McCann | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 Beau Websterbowled · Dillon Pennington1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Dillon Pennington | 23 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 88.46 |
| Ed Barnardcaught · Tom Moores · Benny Howell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Benny Howell |
| 3 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 37.50 |
| Kai Smithcaught · Freddie McCann · Oli Stone 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Freddie McCann · b Oli Stone | 34 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 121.43 |
|---|
| Alex Davieslbw · Benny Howell 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Benny Howell | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Jordan Thompsonbowled · Dillon Pennington0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dillon Pennington | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Chris Woakesbowled · Mohammad Ali1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Ali | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 250.00 |
|---|
 Richard Gleesonbowled · Mohammad Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Ali | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Usman Tariqnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Ali0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 3 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddie McCann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Benny Howell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-54 (Rob Yates, 5.4) · 2-58 (Z Malik, 6.4) · 3-60 (Dan Mousley, 7.2) · 4-75 (Ed Barnard, 10.3) · 5-98 (Beau Webster, 14.3) · 6-105 (Alex Davies, 15.5) · 7-120 (Jordan Thompson, 17.3) · 8-131 (Chris Woakes, 18.2) · 9-133 (Richard Gleeson, 19.0) · 10-139 (Kai Smith, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 18 | 39/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 49/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 54/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 59/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 62/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 66/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 68/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 79/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 83/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 90/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 97/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 101/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 105/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 113/6 |
| 18 | 17 | 130/7 |
| 19 | 3 | 133/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 139/10 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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