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Photo: Benchill
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
16 Jan 2025 · T20
University Oval, Dunedin · Venue photographRecorded result
Northern Districts started on 43%; Northern Districts batted first.
Northern Districts's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Otago: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Phillipscaught · Joe Carter · Neil Wagner 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Carter · b Neil Wagner | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Jamal Toddcaught and bowled · Matthew Fisher 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matthew Fisher | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Katene Clarke · Matthew Fisher 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Katene Clarke · b Matthew Fisher | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 137.50 |
| Llew Johnsonstumped · Ben Pomare · Freddy Walker 2 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Ben Pomare · b Freddy Walker | 25 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 131.58 |
| Leo Cartercaught · Kris Clarke · Neil Wagner 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kris Clarke · b Neil Wagner | 54 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 154.29 |
 Max Chucaught · Matthew Fisher · Freddy Walker4 fours · 2 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Matthew Fisher · b Freddy Walker |
| 44 |
| 27 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 162.96 |
 Luke Georgesonrun out · FF Lellman, Ben Pomare · Matthew Fisher1 fours · 3 sixes | run out · FF Lellman, Ben Pomare | 28 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 311.11 |
|---|
| Ben Lockrosecaught · Katene Clarke · Kris Clarke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Katene Clarke · b Kris Clarke | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Andrew Hazeldinenot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 5 | 1 | 1 | 240.00 |
|---|
 Jacob Duffynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Clarke0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Neil Wagner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Fisher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Brett Hampton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddy Walker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| FF Lellman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Dale Phillips, 1.1) · 2-26 (Glenn Phillips, 2.5) · 3-42 (Jamal Todd, 4.1) · 4-84 (Llew Johnson, 9.3) · 5-158 (Leo Carter, 16.2) · 6-164 (Max Chu, 17.3) · 7-173 (Ben Lockrose, 18.1) · 8-202 (Luke Georgeson, 19.4)
Recorded target: 213 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 21/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 27/2 |
| 4 | 14 | 41/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 44/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 53/3 |
| 7 | 10 | 63/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 72/3 |
| 9 | 11 | 83/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 90/4 |
| 11 | 11 | 101/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 107/4 |
| 13 | 15 | 122/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 133/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 144/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 157/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 161/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 173/6 |
| 19 | 12 | 185/7 |
| 20 | 19 | 204/8 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Neil Wagner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Georgeson: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Pomare: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brett Hampton: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
