SunrisersversusThe Blaze

13 Jun 2024 · T20

Lord's · Venue photograph

Recorded result

The Blaze won by 8 wickets

Sunrisers20.0 overs137/7 The Blaze15.1 overs140/2 Lord's ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers started on 25%; Sunrisers batted first.

Sunrisers’s chance of winning (%) · The Blaze is the rest

Sunrisers's chances ranged from 0% to 47% during the match (The Blaze: 53% to 100%).

Biggest swings

3.6: S Glenn to MK Villiers, MK Villiers out. The Blaze up from 65% to 72%.
2nd inns 0.1: J Grewcock to TT Beaumont, TT Beaumont out. Sunrisers up from 34% to 47%.
2nd inns 5.4: E Gray to M Kelly, M Kelly out. Sunrisers up from 26% to 36%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: The Blaze chose to field
match referees: H Pack
umpires: G Brown, JC Tredwell

Match history & source

On 13 Jun 2024, Sunrisers played The Blaze at Lord's. Recorded result: The Blaze won by 8 wickets.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

Bringing the game to you…

Help make cricket’s story more accurate.