OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
South Africa tour of Australia · 2025 · Men
24 Aug 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Australia started on 53%; Australia batted first.
Australia's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (South Africa: 0% to 47%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markramcaught · Cameron Green · Sean Abbott0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Green · b Sean Abbott | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Cooper Connolly · Xavier Bartlett2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cooper Connolly · b Xavier Bartlett | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 91.67 |
 Temba Bavumabowled · Sean Abbott4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sean Abbott | 19 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 190.00 |
| Tony de Zorzicaught · Alex Carey · Cooper Connolly 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Cooper Connolly |
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 33 |
| 30 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 110.00 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · Sean Abbott · Xavier Bartlett 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Abbott · b Xavier Bartlett | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Dewald Breviscaught · Cameron Green · Cooper Connolly 2 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Cameron Green · b Cooper Connolly | 49 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 175.00 |
|---|
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Cooper Connolly0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Cooper Connolly | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41.67 |
|---|
| Corbin Boschcaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Cooper Connolly 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Cooper Connolly | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 113.33 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajstumped · Josh Inglis · Cooper Connolly0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Josh Inglis · b Cooper Connolly | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.38 |
|---|
| Senuran Muthusamynot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Kwena Maphakacaught · Travis Head · Adam Zampa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Travis Head · b Adam Zampa | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.5 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 6.41 | 0 | 0 |
| Cooper Connolly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Aiden Markram, 2.0) · 2-31 (Ryan Rickelton, 4.2) · 3-39 (Temba Bavuma, 5.5) · 4-50 (Tristan Stubbs, 8.1) · 5-107 (Tony de Zorzi, 13.3) · 6-124 (Dewald Brevis, 17.2) · 7-135 (Wiaan Mulder, 19.2) · 8-145 (Corbin Bosch, 21.3) · 9-154 (Keshav Maharaj, 23.5) · 10-155 (Kwena Maphaka, 24.5)
Recorded target: 432 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 34/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 39/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 44/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 50/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 59/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 65/4 |
| 11 | 17 | 82/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 86/4 |
| 13 | 17 | 103/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 107/5 |
| 15 | 0 | 107/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 110/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 123/5 |
| 18 | 4 | 127/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 134/6 |
| 20 | 1 | 135/7 |
| 21 | 8 | 143/7 |
| 22 | 9 | 152/8 |
| 23 | 1 | 153/8 |
| 24 | 1 | 154/9 |
| 25 | 1 | 155/10 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.png){kind=link}
_(Marnus_Labuschagne_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
