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Luxembourg Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2025 · Women
12 Sept 2025 · T20
Pierre Werner Cricket Ground, Walferdange · Venue photographRecorded result
Switzerland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Switzerland started on 53%; Switzerland batted first.
Switzerland's chances ranged from 54% to 100% during the match (Luxembourg: 0% to 46%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SH Lawlorrun out · L Pickard · M Parinitha 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · L Pickard | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
| E Gebhardlbw · J Edmiston 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b J Edmiston | 14 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 56.00 |
| Kerry Fraserrun out · Amrita Sasidharan · Naina Saju 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Amrita Sasidharan | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Aarti Priyacaught · Shilpa Shankar · Meghna Rajan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shilpa Shankar · b Meghna Rajan | 19 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 73.08 |
| Khusboo Kandpalcaught · Meghna Rajan · Metty Fernandes 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Meghna Rajan · b Metty Fernandes | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58.33 |
| run out · Meghna Rajan, Shilpa Shankar |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Jagrat Dubeybowled · Meghna Rajan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Meghna Rajan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| PN Agarwalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Divya Kandpalbowled · Meghna Rajan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Meghna Rajan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Shivani Saticaught · Meghna Rajan · M Parinitha 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Meghna Rajan · b M Parinitha | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 30 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Parinitha0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 4.11 | 5 | 0 |
| Naina Saju0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 2 | 1 |
| D Medagoda0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 4 | 0 |
| S Dabholkatr0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 7 | 0 |
| J Edmiston0 maidens · 12 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 12 | 0 |
| Metty Fernandes0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Meghna Rajan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (SH Lawlor, 2.2) · 2-11 (Kerry Fraser, 3.5) · 3-46 (E Gebhard, 8.3) · 4-72 (Khusboo Kandpal, 11.4) · 5-77 (Mounica Chowdary, 12.5) · 6-80 (Aarti Priya, 13.1) · 7-81 (Jagrat Dubey, 13.3) · 8-81 (Divya Kandpal, 13.4) · 9-83 (Shivani Sati, 14.1)
Absent hurt: P Neighbour
Recorded target: 158 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 14/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 34/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 42/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 49/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 12 | 68/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 72/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 80/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 82/8 |
| 15 | 1 | 83/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.