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Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
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SA20 · 2025/26 · Men
4 Jan 2026 · T20
Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 49%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (Paarl Royals: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Asa Tribe · N Mokoena1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b N Mokoena | 17 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 94.44 |
| HE van der Dussencaught · Bjorn Fortuin · Sikandar Raza 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bjorn Fortuin · b Sikandar Raza | 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 127.27 |
 Reeza Hendrickscaught · Sikandar Raza · Mujeeb Ur Rahman1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sikandar Raza · b Mujeeb Ur Rahman | 18 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Nicolas Poorancaught · Kyle Verreynne · Ottniel Baartman 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Ottniel Baartman | 17 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 68.00 |
| Jason Smithbowled · Sikandar Raza 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Sikandar Raza |
| 4 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
 Tom Mooresbowled · N Mokoena1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b N Mokoena | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 64.29 |
|---|
| George Lindecaught and bowled · Sikandar Raza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sikandar Raza | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Rashid Khancaught · David Miller · Sikandar Raza0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Miller · b Sikandar Raza | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Corbin Boschcaught · Sikandar Raza · Ottniel Baartman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sikandar Raza · b Ottniel Baartman | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadarun out · LG Pretorius, Ottniel Baartman · Ottniel Baartman0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · LG Pretorius, Ottniel Baartman | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
 Trent Boultnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bjorn Fortuin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| N Mokoena0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 3.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Ottniel Baartman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Mujeeb Ur Rahman1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Delano Potgieter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (HE van der Dussen, 4.3) · 2-31 (Ryan Rickelton, 5.2) · 3-55 (Nicolas Pooran, 10.5) · 4-61 (Jason Smith, 12.1) · 5-80 (Tom Moores, 15.3) · 6-81 (George Linde, 16.1) · 7-81 (Rashid Khan, 16.2) · 8-85 (Reeza Hendricks, 17.1) · 9-88 (Kagiso Rabada, 18.3) · 10-88 (Corbin Bosch, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 35/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 38/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 45/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 53/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 56/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 61/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 63/4 |
| 14 | 10 | 73/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 79/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 81/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 85/7 |
| 18 | 0 | 85/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 88/10 |
Mujeeb Ur Rahman: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rashid Khan: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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