Royal Challengers BengaluruversusGujarat Giants

19 Jan 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 61 runs

Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs178/6 Gujarat Giants20.0 overs117/8 Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 50%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Giants is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 29% to 100% during the match (Gujarat Giants: 0% to 71%).

Biggest swings

0.6: Renuka Singh to GM Harris, GM Harris out. Gujarat Giants up from 51% to 62%.
1.6: KS Gautam to G Voll, G Voll out. Gujarat Giants up from 59% to 69%.
2nd inns 1.1: SG Satghare to BL Mooney, BL Mooney out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 67% to 77%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru178/6 Gujarat Giants117/8

Innings 1