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Photo: Amuzujoe
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Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's African Games · 2023/24 · Women
11 Mar 2024 · T20
Achimota Senior Secondary School A Field, Accra · Venue photographRecorded result
Uganda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Africa started on 41%; South Africa batted first.
South Africa's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Uganda: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Obukorcaught · Karabo Meso · K Reyneke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karabo Meso · b K Reyneke | 12 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 70.59 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyilbw · J Winster 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b J Winster | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| E Ilokucaught · J Winster · Seshnie Naidu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Winster · b Seshnie Naidu | 19 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 57.58 |
| Janet Mbabazicaught · Faye Tunnicliffe · K Reyneke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Faye Tunnicliffe · b K Reyneke | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Stephanie Nampiinalbw · K Reyneke 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b K Reyneke | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| lbw · b Nondumiso Shangase |
| 6 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Kevin Awinorun out · Karabo Meso, Seshnie Naidu · Jenna Evans 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Karabo Meso, Seshnie Naidu | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| PE Kulumerun out · Jenna Evans, Nondumiso Shangase · Jenna Evans 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jenna Evans, Nondumiso Shangase | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| S Walazabowled · Nondumiso Shangase 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nondumiso Shangase | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Concy Awekocaught · N Baneti · J Winster 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Baneti · b J Winster | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 31.25 |
|---|
| L Anyaitnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Winster0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.27 | 2 | 0 |
| Leah Jones0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| N Baneti0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Seshnie Naidu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| K Reyneke1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 3.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Nondumiso Shangase0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Jenna Evans0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-1 (Immaculate Nakisuuyi, 0.4) · 2-32 (G Obukor, 7.1) · 3-32 (Janet Mbabazi, 7.5) · 4-32 (Stephanie Nampiina, 8.0) · 5-36 (E Iloku, 10.3) · 6-50 (Kevin Awino, 13.5) · 7-50 (Rita Musamali, 14.1) · 8-50 (S Walaza, 14.4) · 9-69 (PE Kulume, 17.2) · 10-72 (Concy Aweko, 18.4)
Recorded target: 123 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 27/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 32/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 32/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 34/4 |
| 10 | 1 | 35/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 38/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 44/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 48/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 50/6 |
| 15 | 2 | 52/8 |
| 16 | 6 | 58/8 |
| 17 | 9 | 67/8 |
| 18 | 3 | 70/9 |
| 19 | 2 | 72/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.