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Photo: Aravind Sivaraj
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2024 · Women
1 May 2024 · T20
Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi · Venue photographRecorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 34%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 0% to 35% during the match (Thailand: 65% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Geetika Kodali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 31* | 26 | 5 | 0 | 119.23 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 30 | 2 | 0 | 63.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M |
|---|
| R |
|---|
| W |
|---|
| Runs / 6 balls |
|---|
| WD |
|---|
| NB |
|---|
| Geetika Kodali0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI Chudasama0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 6.40 | 2 | 0 |
| S Immadi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Isani Vaghela0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ritu Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| JM Willathgamuwa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Nattaya Boochatham, 0.1)
Recorded target: 55 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 25/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 32/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 46/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 48/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 56/1 |
Naruemol Chaiwai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sindhu Sriharsha: Hong Kong Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Nannapat Koncharoenkai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nattaya Boochatham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chanida Sutthiruang: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Onnicha Kamchomphu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Natthakan Chantam: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suleeporn Laomi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.