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Lotus Cup Women's Tri-Series · 2025/26 · Women
21 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 62%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 62% to 100% during the match (Malaysia: 0% to 38%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainna Hamizah Hashimcaught · M Bibi · Ruchitha Venkatesh 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Bibi · b Ruchitha Venkatesh | 31 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Winifred Duraisingamcaught · Natasha Miles · Kary Chan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Natasha Miles · b Kary Chan | 11 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 57.89 |
| Mas Elysacaught · Hiu Ying Cheung · M Wai Siu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hiu Ying Cheung · b M Wai Siu | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Mahirah Ismailcaught · M Wai Siu · Ruchitha Venkatesh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Wai Siu · b Ruchitha Venkatesh | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
| Nur Arianna Natsyacaught · Chan Sau Har · Ruchitha Venkatesh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chan Sau Har · b Ruchitha Venkatesh | 5 | 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Nur Dania Syuhadabowled · Iqra Sahar 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Iqra Sahar | 26 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 113.04 |
|---|
| Nur Izzatul Syafiqabowled · M Wai Siu 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Wai Siu | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
| Irdina Beh Nabilbowled · Chan Sau Har 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chan Sau Har | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Wan Julialbw · Chan Sau Har 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Chan Sau Har | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Musfirah Nur Ainaanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iqra Sahar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| M Bibi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| M Wai Siu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Kary Chan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Ruchitha Venkatesh0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Chan Sau Har0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Winifred Duraisingam, 6.4) · 2-45 (Mas Elysa, 7.2) · 3-56 (Ainna Hamizah Hashim, 9.5) · 4-63 (Mahirah Ismail, 11.5) · 5-67 (Nur Arianna Natsya, 13.3) · 6-92 (Nur Izzatul Syafiqa, 16.3) · 7-107 (Nur Dania Syuhada, 18.3) · 8-109 (Irdina Beh Nabil, 19.2) · 9-112 (Wan Julia, 20.0)
Recorded target: 164 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 30/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 36/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 38/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 41/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 46/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 54/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 59/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 63/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 65/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 70/5 |
| 15 | 10 | 80/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 87/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 95/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 104/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 108/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 112/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.