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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
2 Jun 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Middlesex started on 35%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 73% during the match (Essex: 27% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · Jack Davies · Tom Helm0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Davies · b Tom Helm | 10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 125.00 |
 Dean Elgarcaught · Luke Hollman · Josh de Caires3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Luke Hollman · b Josh de Caires | 32 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 152.38 |
| Michael-Kyle Pepperlbw · Luke Hollman 10 fours · 6 sixes | lbw · b Luke Hollman | 101 | 44 | 10 | 6 | 229.55 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Joe Cracknell · Ryan Higgins 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Joe Cracknell · b Ryan Higgins | 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 275.00 |
| caught · Martin Andersson · b Luke Hollman |
| 2 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 28.57 |
 Matthew Critchleycaught · Josh de Caires · Blake Cullen0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Josh de Caires · b Blake Cullen | 16 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 145.45 |
|---|
 Daniel Samsnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 3 | 1 | 1 | 333.33 |
|---|
 Simon Harmernot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 13.13 | 4 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Blake Cullen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 12.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh de Caires0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 2 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Ryan Higgins0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-14 (Adam Rossington, 1.3) · 2-97 (Dean Elgar, 8.1) · 3-122 (Jordan Cox, 10.0) · 4-148 (Paul Walter, 12.4) · 5-181 (Matthew Critchley, 16.0) · 6-189 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 16.3)
Recorded target: 204 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 16 | 31/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 42/1 |
| 5 | 18 | 60/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 70/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 79/1 |
| 8 | 18 | 97/1 |
| 9 | 16 | 113/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 122/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 135/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 141/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 148/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 159/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 169/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 181/5 |
| 17 | 15 | 196/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 207/6 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aaron Beard: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
