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South Africa Women tour of Australia · 2023/24 · Women
15 Feb 2024 · Test
WACA, Perth · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alyssa Healy · b Darcie Brown | 8 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47.06 |
| Anne Boschcaught · Sophie Molineux · Kim Garth 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sophie Molineux · b Kim Garth | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Suné Luuscaught · Phoebe Litchfield · Kim Garth 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Phoebe Litchfield · b Kim Garth | 5 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 20.83 |
| Tazmin Britscaught · Phoebe Litchfield · Ellyse Perry 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Phoebe Litchfield · b Ellyse Perry | 31 | 127 | 4 | 0 | 24.41 |
| caught and bowled · b Ashleigh Gardner |
| 64 |
| 181 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 35.36 |
10 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Annabel Sutherland | 64 | 153 | 10 | 0 | 41.83 |
|---|
| Nadine de Klerkcaught · Annabel Sutherland · Ashleigh Gardner 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Annabel Sutherland · b Ashleigh Gardner | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sinalo Jaftabowled · Darcie Brown 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Darcie Brown | 9 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 23.08 |
|---|
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alyssa Healy · b Annabel Sutherland | 15 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Masabata Klaasnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Ayanda Hlubicaught and bowled · Alana King 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Alana King | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 11 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.0 | 5 | 55 | 2 | 2.89 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19.0 | 3 | 47 | 2 | 2.47 | 1 | 0 | |
| 11.0 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 2.36 | 1 | 1 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2.67 | 0 | 1 | |
| 13.2 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14.0 | 4 | 29 | 2 | 2.07 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8.0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1.38 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10.0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1.10 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Anne Bosch, 1.0) · 2-9 (Suné Luus, 6.4) · 3-13 (Laura Wolvaardt, 7.5) · 4-109 (Tazmin Brits, 48.2) · 5-156 (Delmi Tucker, 72.5) · 6-160 (Nadine de Klerk, 74.3) · 7-181 (Sinalo Jafta, 85.3) · 8-213 (Chloe Tryon, 94.4) · 9-214 (Nonkululeko Mlaba, 96.3) · 10-215 (Ayanda Hlubi, 97.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 5/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 7/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 8/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 9/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 9/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 13/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 15/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 19/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 21/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 22/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 24/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 28/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 31/3 |
| 16 | 1 | 32/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 33/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 38/3 |
| 19 | 0 | 38/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 40/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 42/3 |
| 22 | 0 | 42/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 43/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 45/3 |
| 25 | 12 | 57/3 |
| 26 | 2 | 59/3 |
| 27 | 7 | 66/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 67/3 |
| 29 | 0 | 67/3 |
| 30 | 0 | 67/3 |
| 31 | 1 | 68/3 |
| 32 | 0 | 68/3 |
| 33 | 3 | 71/3 |
| 34 | 0 | 71/3 |
| 35 | 5 | 76/3 |
| 36 | 7 | 83/3 |
| 37 | 5 | 88/3 |
| 38 | 4 | 92/3 |
| 39 | 1 | 93/3 |
| 40 | 0 | 93/3 |
| 41 | 2 | 95/3 |
| 42 | 5 | 100/3 |
| 43 | 1 | 101/3 |
| 44 | 0 | 101/3 |
| 45 | 3 | 104/3 |
| 46 | 4 | 108/3 |
| 47 | 1 | 109/3 |
| 48 | 0 | 109/3 |
| 49 | 4 | 113/4 |
| 50 | 0 | 113/4 |
| 51 | 8 | 121/4 |
| 52 | 1 | 122/4 |
| 53 | 3 | 125/4 |
| 54 | 6 | 131/4 |
| 55 | 9 | 140/4 |
| 56 | 0 | 140/4 |
| 57 | 5 | 145/4 |
| 58 | 0 | 145/4 |
| 59 | 0 | 145/4 |
| 60 | 1 | 146/4 |
| 61 | 0 | 146/4 |
| 62 | 0 | 146/4 |
| 63 | 1 | 147/4 |
| 64 | 2 | 149/4 |
| 65 | 2 | 151/4 |
| 66 | 0 | 151/4 |
| 67 | 0 | 151/4 |
| 68 | 1 | 152/4 |
| 69 | 1 | 153/4 |
| 70 | 0 | 153/4 |
| 71 | 0 | 153/4 |
| 72 | 1 | 154/4 |
| 73 | 2 | 156/5 |
| 74 | 4 | 160/5 |
| 75 | 1 | 161/6 |
| 76 | 2 | 163/6 |
| 77 | 1 | 164/6 |
| 78 | 1 | 165/6 |
| 79 | 1 | 166/6 |
| 80 | 2 | 168/6 |
| 81 | 0 | 168/6 |
| 82 | 0 | 168/6 |
| 83 | 5 | 173/6 |
| 84 | 0 | 173/6 |
| 85 | 5 | 178/6 |
| 86 | 7 | 185/7 |
| 87 | 4 | 189/7 |
| 88 | 1 | 190/7 |
| 89 | 10 | 200/7 |
| 90 | 5 | 205/7 |
| 91 | 5 | 210/7 |
| 92 | 1 | 211/7 |
| 93 | 2 | 213/7 |
| 94 | 0 | 213/7 |
| 95 | 1 | 214/8 |
| 96 | 0 | 214/8 |
| 97 | 0 | 214/9 |
| 98 | 1 | 215/10 |
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Molineux: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alyssa Healy: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Darcie Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Phoebe Litchfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.