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Photo: Dave Morton
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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
23 Jul 2025 · Test
Old Trafford · Venue photographEngland more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Harry Brook · Liam Dawson10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Liam Dawson | 58 | 107 | 10 | 1 | 54.21 |
 KL Rahulcaught · Zak Crawley · Chris Woakes4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Chris Woakes | 46 | 98 | 4 | 0 | 46.94 |
| Sai Sudharsancaught · Brydon Carse · Ben Stokes 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brydon Carse · b Ben Stokes | 61 | 151 | 7 | 0 | 40.40 |
 Shubman Gilllbw · Ben Stokes1 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Ben Stokes |
| 12 |
| 23 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 52.17 |
 Rishabh Pantbowled · Jofra Archer3 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Jofra Archer | 54 | 75 | 3 | 2 | 72.00 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Harry Brook · Jofra Archer3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Jofra Archer | 20 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Shardul Thakurcaught · Ben Duckett · Ben Stokes 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Ben Stokes | 41 | 88 | 5 | 0 | 46.59 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarcaught · Chris Woakes · Ben Stokes2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Woakes · b Ben Stokes | 27 | 90 | 2 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
| Anshul Kambojcaught · Jamie Smith · Ben Stokes 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Ben Stokes | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jasprit Bumrahcaught · Jamie Smith · Jofra Archer1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Jofra Archer | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 14 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes5 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.0 | 5 | 66 | 1 | 2.87 | 5 | 0 |
 Jofra Archer3 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.1 | 3 | 73 | 3 | 2.79 | 7 | 0 |
 Brydon Carse1 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 21.0 | 1 | 71 | 0 | 3.38 | 0 | 4 |
 Ben Stokes3 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.0 | 3 | 72 | 5 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Liam Dawson1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 3.80 | 0 | 0 |
1-94 (KL Rahul, 30.0) · 2-120 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 40.1) · 3-140 (Shubman Gill, 49.1) · 4-235 (Sai Sudharsan, 73.5) · 5-266 (Ravindra Jadeja, 84.5) · 6-314 (Shardul Thakur, 101.4) · 7-337 (Washington Sundar, 109.2) · 8-337 (Anshul Kamboj, 109.5) · 9-349 (Rishabh Pant, 112.3) · 10-358 (Jasprit Bumrah, 114.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 15/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 18/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 25/0 |
| 8 | 0 | 25/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 25/0 |
| 10 | 2 | 27/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 31/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 33/0 |
| 13 | 0 | 33/0 |
| 14 | 9 | 42/0 |
| 15 | 1 | 43/0 |
| 16 | 4 | 47/0 |
| 17 | 1 | 48/0 |
| 18 | 4 | 52/0 |
| 19 | 1 | 53/0 |
| 20 | 5 | 58/0 |
| 21 | 0 | 58/0 |
| 22 | 1 | 59/0 |
| 23 | 4 | 63/0 |
| 24 | 5 | 68/0 |
| 25 | 8 | 76/0 |
| 26 | 2 | 78/0 |
| 27 | 6 | 84/0 |
| 28 | 2 | 86/0 |
| 29 | 6 | 92/0 |
| 30 | 2 | 94/1 |
| 31 | 0 | 94/1 |
| 32 | 0 | 94/1 |
| 33 | 4 | 98/1 |
| 34 | 2 | 100/1 |
| 35 | 1 | 101/1 |
| 36 | 6 | 107/1 |
| 37 | 3 | 110/1 |
| 38 | 5 | 115/1 |
| 39 | 5 | 120/1 |
| 40 | 0 | 120/1 |
| 41 | 1 | 121/2 |
| 42 | 1 | 122/2 |
| 43 | 2 | 124/2 |
| 44 | 2 | 126/2 |
| 45 | 5 | 131/2 |
| 46 | 2 | 133/2 |
| 47 | 5 | 138/2 |
| 48 | 1 | 139/2 |
| 49 | 1 | 140/2 |
| 50 | 5 | 145/3 |
| 51 | 2 | 147/3 |
| 52 | 2 | 149/3 |
| 53 | 1 | 150/3 |
| 54 | 5 | 155/3 |
| 55 | 4 | 159/3 |
| 56 | 4 | 163/3 |
| 57 | 1 | 164/3 |
| 58 | 10 | 174/3 |
| 59 | 5 | 179/3 |
| 60 | 3 | 182/3 |
| 61 | 9 | 191/3 |
| 62 | 4 | 195/3 |
| 63 | 2 | 197/3 |
| 64 | 0 | 197/3 |
| 65 | 4 | 201/3 |
| 66 | 2 | 203/3 |
| 67 | 8 | 211/3 |
| 68 | 1 | 212/3 |
| 69 | 5 | 217/3 |
| 70 | 6 | 223/3 |
| 71 | 2 | 225/3 |
| 72 | 6 | 231/3 |
| 73 | 4 | 235/3 |
| 74 | 0 | 235/4 |
| 75 | 2 | 237/4 |
| 76 | 7 | 244/4 |
| 77 | 1 | 245/4 |
| 78 | 4 | 249/4 |
| 79 | 1 | 250/4 |
| 80 | 4 | 254/4 |
| 81 | 0 | 254/4 |
| 82 | 4 | 258/4 |
| 83 | 6 | 264/4 |
| 84 | 0 | 264/4 |
| 85 | 2 | 266/5 |
| 86 | 9 | 275/5 |
| 87 | 1 | 276/5 |
| 88 | 1 | 277/5 |
| 89 | 1 | 278/5 |
| 90 | 1 | 279/5 |
| 91 | 5 | 284/5 |
| 92 | 4 | 288/5 |
| 93 | 2 | 290/5 |
| 94 | 8 | 298/5 |
| 95 | 4 | 302/5 |
| 96 | 4 | 306/5 |
| 97 | 3 | 309/5 |
| 98 | 1 | 310/5 |
| 99 | 2 | 312/5 |
| 100 | 1 | 313/5 |
| 101 | 1 | 314/5 |
| 102 | 0 | 314/6 |
| 103 | 1 | 315/6 |
| 104 | 2 | 317/6 |
| 105 | 4 | 321/6 |
| 106 | 1 | 322/6 |
| 107 | 0 | 322/6 |
| 108 | 11 | 333/6 |
| 109 | 3 | 336/6 |
| 110 | 1 | 337/8 |
| 111 | 7 | 344/8 |
| 112 | 5 | 349/8 |
| 113 | 5 | 354/9 |
| 114 | 4 | 358/9 |
| 115 | 0 | 358/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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