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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
India tour of England · 2025 · Men
23 Jul 2025 · Test
Old Trafford · Venue photographEngland more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · KL Rahul · Ravindra Jadeja13 fours · 1 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Ravindra Jadeja | 84 | 113 | 13 | 1 | 74.34 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Dhruv Jurel · Anshul Kamboj13 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Anshul Kamboj | 94 | 100 | 13 | 0 | 94.00 |
 Ollie Popecaught · KL Rahul · Washington Sundar7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Washington Sundar | 71 | 128 | 7 | 0 | 55.47 |
 |
| stumped · Dhruv Jurel · b Ravindra Jadeja |
| 150 |
| 248 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| 60.48 |
 Harry Brookstumped · Dhruv Jurel · Washington Sundar0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Dhruv Jurel · b Washington Sundar | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Ben Stokescaught · Sai Sudharsan · Ravindra Jadeja11 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Sai Sudharsan · b Ravindra Jadeja | 141 | 198 | 11 | 3 | 71.21 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · Dhruv Jurel · Jasprit Bumrah1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Jasprit Bumrah | 9 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 47.37 |
|---|
| Liam Dawsonbowled · Jasprit Bumrah 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 26 | 65 | 3 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Chris Woakesbowled · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Siraj | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 23.53 |
|---|
 Brydon Carsecaught · Mohammed Siraj · Ravindra Jadeja3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammed Siraj · b Ravindra Jadeja | 47 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 87.04 |
|---|
 Jofra Archernot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 15 · wides: 1 · noballs: 14 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah5 maidens · 0 wides · 6 no-balls | 33.0 | 5 | 112 | 2 | 3.39 | 0 | 6 |
| Anshul Kamboj1 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 18.0 | 1 | 89 | 1 | 4.94 | 0 | 4 |
 Mohammed Siraj4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 30.0 | 4 | 140 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Shardul Thakur0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 1 |
 Ravindra Jadeja0 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 37.1 | 0 | 143 | 4 | 3.85 | 0 | 3 |
 Washington Sundar4 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 28.0 | 4 | 107 | 2 | 3.82 | 1 | 0 |
1-166 (Zak Crawley, 32.0) · 2-197 (Ben Duckett, 38.1) · 3-341 (Ollie Pope, 76.1) · 4-349 (Harry Brook, 80.1) · 5-499 (Joe Root, 119.2) · 6-515 (Jamie Smith, 124.1) · 7-528 (Chris Woakes, 129.1) · 8-563 (Liam Dawson, 139.3) · 9-658 (Ben Stokes, 155.3) · 10-669 (Brydon Carse, 157.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 15/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 24/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 26/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 34/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 36/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 41/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 49/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 54/0 |
| 12 | 8 | 62/0 |
| 13 | 7 | 69/0 |
| 14 | 8 | 77/0 |
| 15 | 8 | 85/0 |
| 16 | 1 | 86/0 |
| 17 | 6 | 92/0 |
| 18 | 4 | 96/0 |
| 19 | 6 | 102/0 |
| 20 | 0 | 102/0 |
| 21 | 7 | 109/0 |
| 22 | 2 | 111/0 |
| 23 | 8 | 119/0 |
| 24 | 2 | 121/0 |
| 25 | 3 | 124/0 |
| 26 | 15 | 139/0 |
| 27 | 5 | 144/0 |
| 28 | 1 | 145/0 |
| 29 | 8 | 153/0 |
| 30 | 3 | 156/0 |
| 31 | 2 | 158/0 |
| 32 | 8 | 166/1 |
| 33 | 9 | 175/1 |
| 34 | 3 | 178/1 |
| 35 | 5 | 183/1 |
| 36 | 3 | 186/1 |
| 37 | 6 | 192/1 |
| 38 | 5 | 197/1 |
| 39 | 5 | 202/2 |
| 40 | 3 | 205/2 |
| 41 | 4 | 209/2 |
| 42 | 1 | 210/2 |
| 43 | 4 | 214/2 |
| 44 | 2 | 216/2 |
| 45 | 4 | 220/2 |
| 46 | 5 | 225/2 |
| 47 | 2 | 227/2 |
| 48 | 0 | 227/2 |
| 49 | 4 | 231/2 |
| 50 | 9 | 240/2 |
| 51 | 0 | 240/2 |
| 52 | 4 | 244/2 |
| 53 | 2 | 246/2 |
| 54 | 1 | 247/2 |
| 55 | 5 | 252/2 |
| 56 | 1 | 253/2 |
| 57 | 6 | 259/2 |
| 58 | 2 | 261/2 |
| 59 | 5 | 266/2 |
| 60 | 9 | 275/2 |
| 61 | 5 | 280/2 |
| 62 | 1 | 281/2 |
| 63 | 4 | 285/2 |
| 64 | 4 | 289/2 |
| 65 | 1 | 290/2 |
| 66 | 2 | 292/2 |
| 67 | 9 | 301/2 |
| 68 | 4 | 305/2 |
| 69 | 7 | 312/2 |
| 70 | 1 | 313/2 |
| 71 | 5 | 318/2 |
| 72 | 5 | 323/2 |
| 73 | 4 | 327/2 |
| 74 | 5 | 332/2 |
| 75 | 3 | 335/2 |
| 76 | 6 | 341/2 |
| 77 | 0 | 341/3 |
| 78 | 4 | 345/3 |
| 79 | 3 | 348/3 |
| 80 | 1 | 349/3 |
| 81 | 0 | 349/4 |
| 82 | 3 | 352/4 |
| 83 | 1 | 353/4 |
| 84 | 4 | 357/4 |
| 85 | 0 | 357/4 |
| 86 | 1 | 358/4 |
| 87 | 2 | 360/4 |
| 88 | 3 | 363/4 |
| 89 | 5 | 368/4 |
| 90 | 10 | 378/4 |
| 91 | 5 | 383/4 |
| 92 | 11 | 394/4 |
| 93 | 0 | 394/4 |
| 94 | 6 | 400/4 |
| 95 | 2 | 402/4 |
| 96 | 7 | 409/4 |
| 97 | 2 | 411/4 |
| 98 | 4 | 415/4 |
| 99 | 9 | 424/4 |
| 100 | 4 | 428/4 |
| 101 | 4 | 432/4 |
| 102 | 1 | 433/4 |
| 103 | 5 | 438/4 |
| 104 | 3 | 441/4 |
| 105 | 2 | 443/4 |
| 106 | 7 | 450/4 |
| 107 | 8 | 458/4 |
| 108 | 0 | 458/4 |
| 109 | 1 | 459/4 |
| 110 | 3 | 462/4 |
| 111 | 4 | 466/4 |
| 112 | 5 | 471/4 |
| 113 | 6 | 477/4 |
| 114 | 5 | 482/4 |
| 115 | 7 | 489/4 |
| 116 | 2 | 491/4 |
| 117 | 4 | 495/4 |
| 118 | 3 | 498/4 |
| 119 | 1 | 499/4 |
| 120 | 1 | 500/5 |
| 121 | 4 | 504/5 |
| 122 | 4 | 508/5 |
| 123 | 5 | 513/5 |
| 124 | 2 | 515/5 |
| 125 | 1 | 516/6 |
| 126 | 2 | 518/6 |
| 127 | 5 | 523/6 |
| 128 | 0 | 523/6 |
| 129 | 5 | 528/6 |
| 130 | 3 | 531/7 |
| 131 | 1 | 532/7 |
| 132 | 2 | 534/7 |
| 133 | 4 | 538/7 |
| 134 | 1 | 539/7 |
| 135 | 5 | 544/7 |
| 136 | 1 | 545/7 |
| 137 | 5 | 550/7 |
| 138 | 1 | 551/7 |
| 139 | 11 | 562/7 |
| 140 | 6 | 568/8 |
| 141 | 3 | 571/8 |
| 142 | 9 | 580/8 |
| 143 | 3 | 583/8 |
| 144 | 4 | 587/8 |
| 145 | 1 | 588/8 |
| 146 | 6 | 594/8 |
| 147 | 3 | 597/8 |
| 148 | 5 | 602/8 |
| 149 | 12 | 614/8 |
| 150 | 1 | 615/8 |
| 151 | 6 | 621/8 |
| 152 | 12 | 633/8 |
| 153 | 10 | 643/8 |
| 154 | 5 | 648/8 |
| 155 | 3 | 651/8 |
| 156 | 9 | 660/9 |
| 157 | 9 | 669/9 |
| 158 | 0 | 669/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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