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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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ICC Women's T20 World Cup · 2026 · Women
14 Jun 2026 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographIndia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 74%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 57% to 100% during the match (Pakistan: 0% to 43%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muneeba Alirun out · Deepti Sharma · Shreyanka Patil 5 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Deepti Sharma | 41 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 117.14 |
| Gull Ferozacaught · Bharati Fulmali · Deepti Sharma 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bharati Fulmali · b Deepti Sharma | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Ayesha Zafarcaught · Smriti Mandhana · Deepti Sharma 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smriti Mandhana · b Deepti Sharma | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Saira Jabeencaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Shree Charani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Shree Charani | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Natalia Pervaizcaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Shree Charani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Shree Charani | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 53.85 |
| Fatima Sanacaught · Smriti Mandhana · Shafali Verma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smriti Mandhana · b Shafali Verma | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aliya Riazcaught · Jemimah Rodrigues · Deepti Sharma 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jemimah Rodrigues · b Deepti Sharma | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 105.88 |
|---|
| Rameen Shamimcaught · Shreyanka Patil · Shree Charani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shreyanka Patil · b Shree Charani | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Nashra Sandhucaught · Harmanpreet Kaur · Deepti Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harmanpreet Kaur · b Deepti Sharma | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Tasmia Rubabcaught · Jemimah Rodrigues · Deepti Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jemimah Rodrigues · b Deepti Sharma | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sadia Iqbalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arundhati Reddy0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Shreyanka Patil0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Kranti Goud0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shree Charani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 2 | 0 |
1-38 (Gull Feroza, 4.5) · 2-53 (Ayesha Zafar, 6.3) · 3-58 (Saira Jabeen, 7.4) · 4-75 (Muneeba Ali, 10.5) · 5-77 (Fatima Sana, 11.3) · 6-79 (Natalia Pervaiz, 12.1) · 7-91 (Rameen Shamim, 14.4) · 8-105 (Aliya Riaz, 16.2) · 9-105 (Tasmia Rubab, 16.4) · 10-106 (Nashra Sandhu, 17.0)
Recorded target: 171 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 25/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 55/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 59/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 62/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 72/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 75/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 79/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 83/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 89/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 92/7 |
| 16 | 12 | 104/7 |
| 17 | 2 | 106/10 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shafali Verma: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.