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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2024 · Women
27 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 60%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 65% during the match (Zimbabwe: 35% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozabowled · L Mabhero 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b L Mabhero | 13 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 68.42 |
| Theertha Satishcaught · Modester Mupachikwa · Josephine Nkomo 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b Josephine Nkomo | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Khushi Sharmalbw · Josephine Nkomo 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Josephine Nkomo | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kavisha Egodagerun out · Modester Mupachikwa, Audrey Mazvishaya · Josephine Nkomo 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Modester Mupachikwa, Audrey Mazvishaya | 23 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 65.71 |
| Heena Hotchandanilbw · Francisca Chipare 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Francisca Chipare | 32 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 96.97 |
| Rinitha Rajithnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 11 | 2 | 0 | 172.73 |
|---|
| S Dharnidharkacaught · Mary-Anne Musonda · Josephine Nkomo 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mary-Anne Musonda · b Josephine Nkomo | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Vaishnave Maheshbowled · Josephine Nkomo 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josephine Nkomo | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Lavanya Kenybowled · Audrey Mazvishaya 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Audrey Mazvishaya | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Siya Gokhalecaught · Chipo Mugeri · Audrey Mazvishaya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chipo Mugeri · b Audrey Mazvishaya | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josephine Nkomo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Precious Marange0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| L Mabhero1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Audrey Mazvishaya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelis Ndhlovu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Francisca Chipare0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 6 | 0 |
| Sharne Mayers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Theertha Satish, 2.4) · 2-14 (Khushi Sharma, 3.0) · 3-22 (Esha Oza, 5.3) · 4-74 (Kavisha Egodage, 15.0) · 5-93 (Heena Hotchandani, 17.1) · 6-98 (S Dharnidharka, 18.3) · 7-98 (Vaishnave Mahesh, 18.4) · 8-99 (Lavanya Keny, 19.1) · 9-105 (Siya Gokhale, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 0 | 14/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 17/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 23/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 30/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 38/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 42/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 53/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 55/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 60/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 65/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 70/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 74/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 84/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 93/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 96/5 |
| 19 | 3 | 99/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 105/9 |
Precious Marange: Foreign and Commonwealth Office · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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