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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2024 · Women
27 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 60%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 65% during the match (Zimbabwe: 35% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharne Mayerslbw · S Kotte 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b S Kotte | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 118.18 |
| Modester Mupachikwarun out · Esha Oza, Siya Gokhale · Esha Oza 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Esha Oza, Siya Gokhale | 22 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Chipo Mugerinot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 36* | 26 | 4 | 0 | 138.46 |
| Mary-Anne Musondanot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 26* | 23 | 3 | 0 | 113.04 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|
| Heena Hotchandani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Dharnidharka0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 5.00 | 6 | 0 |
| S Kotte0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kavisha Egodage0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Esha Oza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Vaishnave Mahesh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Khushi Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Sharne Mayers, 4.2) · 2-65 (Modester Mupachikwa, 10.0)
Recorded target: 106 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 36/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 48/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 52/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 62/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 65/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 69/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 77/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 85/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 91/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 97/2 |
| 16 | 9 | 106/2 |
Precious Marange: Foreign and Commonwealth Office · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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