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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Malawi) · 2025 · Men
7 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Tanzania started on 46%; Tanzania batted first.
Tanzania's chances ranged from 0% to 55% during the match (Germany: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musadiq Ahmedcaught · MS Maker · Ally Kimote 8 fours · 3 sixes | caught · MS Maker · b Ally Kimote | 63 | 39 | 8 | 3 | 161.54 |
| Shahid Afridi (2)bowled · K Juma 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Juma | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| K Klessecaught · Salum Jumbe · Ally Kimote 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Salum Jumbe · b Ally Kimote | 42 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 97.67 |
| Harmanjot Singhnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 21* | 14 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Mohammad Hassan Khanbowled · Arun Yadav 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Arun Yadav | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Fayaz Khanlbw · Arun Yadav0 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Arun Yadav |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| V Jatinder Kumarlbw · Arun Yadav 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Arun Yadav | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Muslim Yarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Juma0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Salum Jumbe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Arun Yadav0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ally Kimote0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| LS Barkania0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Kassim Nassoro0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Shahid Afridi (2), 0.3) · 2-101 (Musadiq Ahmed, 11.3) · 3-125 (K Klesse, 15.3) · 4-128 (Mohammad Hassan Khan, 16.2) · 5-128 (Fayaz Khan, 16.3) · 6-128 (V Jatinder Kumar, 16.4)
Recorded target: 136 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 19 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 48/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 57/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 63/1 |
| 8 | 12 | 75/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 78/1 |
| 10 | 11 | 89/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 99/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 103/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 108/2 |
| 14 | 12 | 120/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 123/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 127/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 130/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 137/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.