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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
7 Jun 2024 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 60%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 1% to 97% during the match (Kent: 3% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bantonstumped · Sam Billings · Marcus O'Riordan 3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Sam Billings · b Marcus O'Riordan | 26 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 136.84 |
| Will Smeedcaught · Tawanda Muyeye · Joey Evison 7 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Tawanda Muyeye · b Joey Evison | 68 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 226.67 |
 Tom Kohler-Cadmorecaught · Zak Crawley · Beyers Swanepoel1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Beyers Swanepoel | 42 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 140.00 |
 Tom Abellcaught · Zak Crawley · Matt Parkinson0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Matt Parkinson | 12 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 85.71 |
| caught · Zak Crawley · b Matt Parkinson |
| 26 |
| 18 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 144.44 |
 Lewis Gregorycaught · Zak Crawley · Xavier Bartlett0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Xavier Bartlett | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 171.43 |
|---|
| Ben Greennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Craig Overtonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Beyers Swanepoel0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 0 | 2 |
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Joe Denly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Parkinson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Joey Evison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 19.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Marcus O'Riordan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-95 (Will Smeed, 8.0) · 2-98 (Tom Banton, 8.2) · 3-134 (Tom Abell, 12.5) · 4-166 (Sean Dickson, 17.0) · 5-184 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 18.4) · 6-196 (Lewis Gregory, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 15 | 38/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 51/0 |
| 6 | 16 | 67/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 76/0 |
| 8 | 19 | 95/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 101/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 103/2 |
| 11 | 11 | 114/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 123/2 |
| 13 | 12 | 135/3 |
| 14 | 14 | 149/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 152/3 |
| 16 | 10 | 162/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 166/4 |
| 18 | 10 | 176/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 185/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 197/6 |
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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