Lucknow Super GiantsversusSunrisers Hyderabad

19 May 2025 · T20

Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 6 wickets

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs205/7 Sunrisers Hyderabad18.2 overs206/4 Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 56%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Sunrisers Hyderabad is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 90% during the match (Sunrisers Hyderabad: 10% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 1.4: W O'Rourke to Atharva Taide, Atharva Taide out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 71% to 80%.
2nd inns 7.3: DS Rathi to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 30% to 41%.
2nd inns 11.3: DS Rathi to Ishan Kishan, Ishan Kishan out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 14% to 21%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants205/7 Sunrisers Hyderabad206/4

Innings 1