Sharjah WarriorzversusDubai Capitals

24 Dec 2025 · T20

Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Dubai Capitals won by 6 wickets

Sharjah Warriorz20.0 overs134/8 Dubai Capitals19.1 overs138/4 Dubai International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sharjah Warriorz started on 42%; Sharjah Warriorz batted first.

Sharjah Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Dubai Capitals is the rest

Sharjah Warriorz's chances ranged from 1% to 56% during the match (Dubai Capitals: 44% to 99%).

Biggest swings

4.3: DJ Willey to MD Patel, MD Patel out. Dubai Capitals up from 45% to 54%.
2nd inns 3.6: Harmeet Singh (2) to Sediqullah Atal, Sediqullah Atal out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 22% to 31%.
2nd inns 18.1: TG Southee to JM Cox, four by JM Cox. Dubai Capitals up from 72% to 82%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sharjah Warriorz134/8 Dubai Capitals138/4

Innings 1