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Indonesia tour of Malaysia · 2026 · Men
2 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 87%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 68% to 100% during the match (Indonesia: 1% to 32%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aslam Khancaught · F Banunaek · Danilson Hawoe 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · F Banunaek · b Danilson Hawoe | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Adeshlie Aliascaught · S Kharvi · Anjar Tadarus 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Kharvi · b Anjar Tadarus | 22 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Muhamad Syahadatbowled · Danilson Hawoe 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Danilson Hawoe | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Virandeep Singhcaught · Dharma Kesuma · Danilson Hawoe 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dharma Kesuma · b Danilson Hawoe | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Syed Azizbowled · Kadek Gamantika 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kadek Gamantika | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| caught · AA Rahayu · b Dewa Wiswi |
| 32 |
| 30 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 106.67 |
| Amir Khancaught · Ketut Artawan · Danilson Hawoe 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ketut Artawan · b Danilson Hawoe | 37 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 119.35 |
|---|
| Sharvin Muniandycaught · Danilson Hawoe · F Banunaek 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danilson Hawoe · b F Banunaek | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Amircaught · Anjar Tadarus · Dewa Wiswi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anjar Tadarus · b Dewa Wiswi | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Akramnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Pavandeep Singhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F Banunaek0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 6.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Anjar Tadarus0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Kadek Gamantika0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ketut Artawan0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Dewa Wiswi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Aslam Khan, 1.3) · 2-41 (Muhamad Syahadat, 5.2) · 3-41 (Virandeep Singh, 5.4) · 4-42 (Adeshlie Alias, 7.0) · 5-55 (Syed Aziz, 9.4) · 6-120 (Amir Khan, 17.5) · 7-126 (Ahmed Aqeel, 18.3) · 8-128 (Muhammad Amir, 19.0) · 9-130 (Sharvin Muniandy, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 41/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 42/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 46/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 52/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 56/5 |
| 11 | 12 | 68/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 73/5 |
| 13 | 12 | 85/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 90/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 96/5 |
| 16 | 12 | 108/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 114/5 |
| 18 | 10 | 124/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 128/8 |
| 20 | 9 | 137/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.