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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
12 Jul 2024 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 56%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Kent: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Brad Currie · James Coles 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Brad Currie · b James Coles | 45 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 173.08 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondlbw · Ollie Robinson0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ollie Robinson | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
 Marcus O'Riordancaught · Nathan McAndrew · Brad Currie1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan McAndrew · b Brad Currie | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Feroze Khushicaught · Nathan McAndrew · Jack Carson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan McAndrew · b Jack Carson |
| 25 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 88.00 |
 Sam Billingsbowled · James Coles0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b James Coles | 14 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 175.00 |
|---|
 Jack Leaningcaught · Harrison Ward · Brad Currie0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harrison Ward · b Brad Currie | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 81.82 |
|---|
 Joey Evisonbowled · Ollie Robinson1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ollie Robinson | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Tom Rogersbowled · James Coles 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b James Coles | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Nathan Gilchristbowled · James Coles 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b James Coles | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Matt Parkinsonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Jas Singhcaught · Daniel Hughes · Jack Carson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Hughes · b Jack Carson | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Currie0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Danny Lamb0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| James Coles1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Carson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 8.57 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 2.5) · 2-32 (Marcus O'Riordan, 3.4) · 3-76 (Tawanda Muyeye, 9.4) · 4-78 (Feroze Khushi, 10.2) · 5-94 (Sam Billings, 11.5) · 6-101 (Joey Evison, 12.5) · 7-102 (Tom Rogers, 13.2) · 8-102 (Nathan Gilchrist, 13.5) · 9-112 (Jack Leaning, 15.3) · 10-115 (Jas Singh, 16.2)
Recorded target: 204 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 43/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 48/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 58/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 61/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 74/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 77/3 |
| 11 | 12 | 89/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 95/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 102/6 |
| 14 | 0 | 102/8 |
| 15 | 7 | 109/8 |
| 16 | 5 | 114/9 |
| 17 | 1 | 115/10 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Feroze Khushi: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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