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Photo: St Kitts & Nevis Government; permission: https://www.flickr.com/photos/skngov/14733563912
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Caribbean Premier League · 2026 · Men
3 Sept 2026 · T20
Warner Park, St Kitts · Venue photographRecorded result
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots started on 38%; St Kitts and Nevis Patriots batted first.
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots's chances ranged from 24% to 100% during the match (St Lucia Kings: 0% to 77%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 3 Sept 2026, St Kitts and Nevis Patriots played St Lucia Kings at Warner Park, St Kitts. Recorded result: St Kitts and Nevis Patriots won by 137 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.